Recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 14–16°C in Milan on September 26 under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with high pressure, favoring moderate radiative cooling without strong advection or cloud cover to retain heat. This aligns with September climatology, where minimums typically fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader balance between sub-9°C and above-19°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential urban heat-island variations across observation sites, and the narrow window for last-minute shifts from incoming Atlantic flow or wind changes. Ensemble spreads and next ECMWF/GFS runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 26 de septiembre?
9°C o menos 99%
19°C o más 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
9°C o menos
99%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C o más
98%
9°C o menos 99%
19°C o más 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
9°C o menos
99%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C o más
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 14–16°C in Milan on September 26 under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with high pressure, favoring moderate radiative cooling without strong advection or cloud cover to retain heat. This aligns with September climatology, where minimums typically fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader balance between sub-9°C and above-19°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential urban heat-island variations across observation sites, and the narrow window for last-minute shifts from incoming Atlantic flow or wind changes. Ensemble spreads and next ECMWF/GFS runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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