Current short-term forecasts from sources including timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall between 10–12°C, aligning with late-August climatology but tempered by a recent cooling trend and possible late-day showers or variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions create tight market-implied probabilities around 9°C versus cooler bins, as traders weigh model spreads in wind patterns and overnight sky cover. Official updates from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and refined ensemble runs will clarify thresholds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 27 de agosto?
6°C or below 83%
9°C 45%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
6°C or below
83%
7°C
21%
8°C
26%
9°C
45%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
18%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
18%
6°C or below 83%
9°C 45%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
6°C or below
$130 Vol.
83%
7°C
$50 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
45%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall between 10–12°C, aligning with late-August climatology but tempered by a recent cooling trend and possible late-day showers or variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions create tight market-implied probabilities around 9°C versus cooler bins, as traders weigh model spreads in wind patterns and overnight sky cover. Official updates from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and refined ensemble runs will clarify thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$180Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall between 10–12°C, aligning with late-August climatology but tempered by a recent cooling trend and possible late-day showers or variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions create tight market-implied probabilities around 9°C versus cooler bins, as traders weigh model spreads in wind patterns and overnight sky cover. Official updates from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and refined ensemble runs will clarify thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$180Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources including timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall between 10–12°C, aligning with late-August climatology but tempered by a recent cooling trend and possible late-day showers or variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions create tight market-implied probabilities around 9°C versus cooler bins, as traders weigh model spreads in wind patterns and overnight sky cover. Official updates from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and refined ensemble runs will clarify thresholds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes