Recent model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a September 2 overnight minimum in Moscow most likely between 13–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 21°C and scattered showers further moderate the diurnal range, while historical September averages (around 10.5°C low) underscore the current anomalously mild pattern. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could push the observed minimum across the 14–15°C threshold, with resolution hinging on official station data at the end of the calendar day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 2 de septiembre?
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
17°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
47%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
17°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
11°C or below
$116 Vol.
3%
12°C
$6 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$6 Vol.
50%
16°C
$5 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$88 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a September 2 overnight minimum in Moscow most likely between 13–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 21°C and scattered showers further moderate the diurnal range, while historical September averages (around 10.5°C low) underscore the current anomalously mild pattern. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could push the observed minimum across the 14–15°C threshold, with resolution hinging on official station data at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$312Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a September 2 overnight minimum in Moscow most likely between 13–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 21°C and scattered showers further moderate the diurnal range, while historical September averages (around 10.5°C low) underscore the current anomalously mild pattern. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could push the observed minimum across the 14–15°C threshold, with resolution hinging on official station data at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$312Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a September 2 overnight minimum in Moscow most likely between 13–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 21°C and scattered showers further moderate the diurnal range, while historical September averages (around 10.5°C low) underscore the current anomalously mild pattern. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could push the observed minimum across the 14–15°C threshold, with resolution hinging on official station data at the end of the calendar day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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