**Current forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight.** This aligns with the historical average low of 11.0°C for the date while reflecting drier, cooler air advection from the northeast. Trader consensus, with 10°C leading at 39.5% implied probability followed by 11°C and 9°C, suggests markets are pricing in potential downward revisions from ensemble guidance or localized urban effects. Upcoming model runs and official Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities, particularly if guidance trends cooler than the current ~12°C consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 22 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 22 de septiembre?
10°C 40%
9 °C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
7°C o menos
25%
8°C
32%
9 °C
37%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
36%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C o más
2%
10°C 40%
9 °C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
7°C o menos
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
32%
9 °C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$145 Vol.
40%
11°C
$20 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight.** This aligns with the historical average low of 11.0°C for the date while reflecting drier, cooler air advection from the northeast. Trader consensus, with 10°C leading at 39.5% implied probability followed by 11°C and 9°C, suggests markets are pricing in potential downward revisions from ensemble guidance or localized urban effects. Upcoming model runs and official Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities, particularly if guidance trends cooler than the current ~12°C consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight.** This aligns with the historical average low of 11.0°C for the date while reflecting drier, cooler air advection from the northeast. Trader consensus, with 10°C leading at 39.5% implied probability followed by 11°C and 9°C, suggests markets are pricing in potential downward revisions from ensemble guidance or localized urban effects. Upcoming model runs and official Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities, particularly if guidance trends cooler than the current ~12°C consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight.** This aligns with the historical average low of 11.0°C for the date while reflecting drier, cooler air advection from the northeast. Trader consensus, with 10°C leading at 39.5% implied probability followed by 11°C and 9°C, suggests markets are pricing in potential downward revisions from ensemble guidance or localized urban effects. Upcoming model runs and official Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities, particularly if guidance trends cooler than the current ~12°C consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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