**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 2 de septiembre?
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
2%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
10°C
$89 Vol.
3%
11°C
$85 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$339Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$339Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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