Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 3 de septiembre?
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
9°C or below
39%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
14%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
9°C or below
$374 Vol.
39%
10°C
$6 Vol.
3%
11°C
$9 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$5 Vol.
14%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$409Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$409Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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