Explosive presales for Antoine Fuqua's Michael Jackson biopic Michael have propelled trader consensus to a 61% implied probability for a domestic opening weekend over $80 million, eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's record $51 million debut for a musical biopic. Recent Deadline tracking on April 2 cited three-week data showing $60 million-plus potential, boosted by massive early-access ticket sales since March 11 and general onsale March 25, reflecting fervent fan demand for Jaafar Jackson's spot-on portrayal. BoxOffice Pro's March forecast of $80-90 million underscores global legacy appeal, though review embargoes, controversy risks, and final walkups ahead of April 22 fan screenings and April 24 wide release could sway outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Michael" Inauguración Fin de Semana Taquilla
"Michael" Inauguración Fin de Semana Taquilla
>80 millones 61%
75-80 millones 21%
70-75m 11%
65-70 millones 6.8%
$10,433 Vol.
$10,433 Vol.
27 abr 2026
<60 millones
4%
60-65 millones
7%
65-70 millones
7%
70-75m
11%
75-80 millones
15%
>80 millones
61%
>80 millones 61%
75-80 millones 21%
70-75m 11%
65-70 millones 6.8%
$10,433 Vol.
$10,433 Vol.
27 abr 2026
<60 millones
$2,109 Vol.
4%
60-65 millones
$358 Vol.
7%
65-70 millones
$344 Vol.
7%
70-75m
$500 Vol.
11%
75-80 millones
$404 Vol.
15%
>80 millones
$6,719 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Explosive presales for Antoine Fuqua's Michael Jackson biopic Michael have propelled trader consensus to a 61% implied probability for a domestic opening weekend over $80 million, eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's record $51 million debut for a musical biopic. Recent Deadline tracking on April 2 cited three-week data showing $60 million-plus potential, boosted by massive early-access ticket sales since March 11 and general onsale March 25, reflecting fervent fan demand for Jaafar Jackson's spot-on portrayal. BoxOffice Pro's March forecast of $80-90 million underscores global legacy appeal, though review embargoes, controversy risks, and final walkups ahead of April 22 fan screenings and April 24 wide release could sway outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$10,433Fecha de finalización
27 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Explosive presales for Antoine Fuqua's Michael Jackson biopic Michael have propelled trader consensus to a 61% implied probability for a domestic opening weekend over $80 million, eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's record $51 million debut for a musical biopic. Recent Deadline tracking on April 2 cited three-week data showing $60 million-plus potential, boosted by massive early-access ticket sales since March 11 and general onsale March 25, reflecting fervent fan demand for Jaafar Jackson's spot-on portrayal. BoxOffice Pro's March forecast of $80-90 million underscores global legacy appeal, though review embargoes, controversy risks, and final walkups ahead of April 22 fan screenings and April 24 wide release could sway outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$10,433Fecha de finalización
27 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Explosive presales for Antoine Fuqua's Michael Jackson biopic Michael have propelled trader consensus to a 61% implied probability for a domestic opening weekend over $80 million, eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's record $51 million debut for a musical biopic. Recent Deadline tracking on April 2 cited three-week data showing $60 million-plus potential, boosted by massive early-access ticket sales since March 11 and general onsale March 25, reflecting fervent fan demand for Jaafar Jackson's spot-on portrayal. BoxOffice Pro's March forecast of $80-90 million underscores global legacy appeal, though review embargoes, controversy risks, and final walkups ahead of April 22 fan screenings and April 24 wide release could sway outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes