Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following hospitalization on June 14 after a fall at home that also involved mild pneumonia. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August and continues intensive physical therapy at home without a public timeline for floor return. Senate leaders and colleagues have noted ongoing medical restrictions, while the chamber’s schedule—including potential recesses—further narrows windows for recorded votes before September 30. These confirmed developments, combined with McConnell’s extended absence record and doctors’ guidance, underpin the 73% trader consensus on “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
20% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Sí
20% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following hospitalization on June 14 after a fall at home that also involved mild pneumonia. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August and continues intensive physical therapy at home without a public timeline for floor return. Senate leaders and colleagues have noted ongoing medical restrictions, while the chamber’s schedule—including potential recesses—further narrows windows for recorded votes before September 30. These confirmed developments, combined with McConnell’s extended absence record and doctors’ guidance, underpin the 73% trader consensus on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volumen
$194Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following hospitalization on June 14 after a fall at home that also involved mild pneumonia. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August and continues intensive physical therapy at home without a public timeline for floor return. Senate leaders and colleagues have noted ongoing medical restrictions, while the chamber’s schedule—including potential recesses—further narrows windows for recorded votes before September 30. These confirmed developments, combined with McConnell’s extended absence record and doctors’ guidance, underpin the 73% trader consensus on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$194Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following hospitalization on June 14 after a fall at home that also involved mild pneumonia. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August and continues intensive physical therapy at home without a public timeline for floor return. Senate leaders and colleagues have noted ongoing medical restrictions, while the chamber’s schedule—including potential recesses—further narrows windows for recorded votes before September 30. These confirmed developments, combined with McConnell’s extended absence record and doctors’ guidance, underpin the 73% trader consensus on “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes