Google's next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro following the February 2026 launch of 3.1 Pro, remains unreleased as of early August due to internal performance shortfalls that prompted a June-to-July delay after the May I/O announcement of 3.5 Flash. Traders are weighing ongoing refinements against competitive pressure from rival large language models and recent talent attrition to labs like Anthropic. The absence of 3.5 Pro in the July 21 batch of Flash and image-focused updates underscores execution risks, while pre-training signals for Gemini 4 add longer-term uncertainty. Key near-term catalysts include any official rollout announcements or developer access via the Gemini API that could shift market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$462,658 Vol.
21 ago 2026
7 de agosto
9%
14 de agosto
68%
21 de agosto
81%
31 de agosto
93%
$462,658 Vol.
7 de agosto
$75,918 Vol.
9%
14 de agosto
$39,881 Vol.
68%
21 de agosto
$24,557 Vol.
81%
31 de agosto
$35,545 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro following the February 2026 launch of 3.1 Pro, remains unreleased as of early August due to internal performance shortfalls that prompted a June-to-July delay after the May I/O announcement of 3.5 Flash. Traders are weighing ongoing refinements against competitive pressure from rival large language models and recent talent attrition to labs like Anthropic. The absence of 3.5 Pro in the July 21 batch of Flash and image-focused updates underscores execution risks, while pre-training signals for Gemini 4 add longer-term uncertainty. Key near-term catalysts include any official rollout announcements or developer access via the Gemini API that could shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Volumen
$462,658Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro following the February 2026 launch of 3.1 Pro, remains unreleased as of early August due to internal performance shortfalls that prompted a June-to-July delay after the May I/O announcement of 3.5 Flash. Traders are weighing ongoing refinements against competitive pressure from rival large language models and recent talent attrition to labs like Anthropic. The absence of 3.5 Pro in the July 21 batch of Flash and image-focused updates underscores execution risks, while pre-training signals for Gemini 4 add longer-term uncertainty. Key near-term catalysts include any official rollout announcements or developer access via the Gemini API that could shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$462,658Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro following the February 2026 launch of 3.1 Pro, remains unreleased as of early August due to internal performance shortfalls that prompted a June-to-July delay after the May I/O announcement of 3.5 Flash. Traders are weighing ongoing refinements against competitive pressure from rival large language models and recent talent attrition to labs like Anthropic. The absence of 3.5 Pro in the July 21 batch of Flash and image-focused updates underscores execution risks, while pre-training signals for Gemini 4 add longer-term uncertainty. Key near-term catalysts include any official rollout announcements or developer access via the Gemini API that could shift market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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