Skip to main content
Market icon

Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría

Market icon

Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría

Péter Magyar 98.6%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,448,513 Vol.

Péter Magyar 98.6%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,448,513 Vol.

¿Será el próximo primer ministro de Hungría Péter Magyar? icon

Péter Magyar

$20,856,400 Vol.

99%

¿Será el próximo primer ministro de Hungría Viktor Orbán? icon

Viktor Orbán

$23,941,673 Vol.

1%

¿Será Klára Dobrev la próxima primera ministra de Hungría? icon

Klára Dobrev

$6,150,470 Vol.

<1%

¿Será el próximo primer ministro de Hungría László Toroczkai? icon

László Toroczkai

$13,741,962 Vol.

<1%

¿Será István Kapitány el próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría? icon

István Kapitány

$16,510,551 Vol.

<1%

¿Será János Lázár el próximo primer ministro de Hungría? icon

János Lázár

$9,247,720 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary elections, securing a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly and ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz-led rule amid record turnout driven by economic woes and corruption concerns. Orbán promptly conceded the "painful" defeat, paving the way for parliament to convene soon and aim for a May 5 government handover. Trader consensus reflects this near-certainty, though slim upset risks include unforeseen legal challenges to results, failure to elect a speaker, or personal health events for Magyar before formal investiture.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,448,513
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Propuesta de resultados

Disputa final

Final

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary elections, securing a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly and ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz-led rule amid record turnout driven by economic woes and corruption concerns. Orbán promptly conceded the "painful" defeat, paving the way for parliament to convene soon and aim for a May 5 government handover. Trader consensus reflects this near-certainty, though slim upset risks include unforeseen legal challenges to results, failure to elect a speaker, or personal health events for Magyar before formal investiture.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,448,513
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Propuesta de resultados

Disputa final

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, seguido de "Viktor Orbán" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha generado $90.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Viktor Orbán" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.