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Elecciones·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

Next Premier of Quebec

Market icon
Elecciones·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

Next Premier of Quebec

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO
Market icon

Christine Fréchette

$3,686 Vol.

78%

Market icon

Bernard Drainville

$5,811 Vol.

22%

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Voting is underway among Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) members through April 12 to select a successor to resigning Premier François Legault, with the winner assuming the premiership given the party's National Assembly majority. Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability, driven by her consistent poll advantages portraying her as a unifying figure capable of revitalizing CAQ support, as shown in recent Léger polling favoring her over Bernard Drainville. Drainville holds 21.5% amid late momentum from endorsements by three cabinet ministers, including Justice Minister Simon Jolin-Barrette, who claimed he is ahead, following a heated final leadership debate and National Assembly prorogation. Party endorsements tilt toward Fréchette (41-19), underscoring her frontrunner status despite tightening dynamics.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,497
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Voting is underway among Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) members through April 12 to select a successor to resigning Premier François Legault, with the winner assuming the premiership given the party's National Assembly majority. Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability, driven by her consistent poll advantages portraying her as a unifying figure capable of revitalizing CAQ support, as shown in recent Léger polling favoring her over Bernard Drainville. Drainville holds 21.5% amid late momentum from endorsements by three cabinet ministers, including Justice Minister Simon Jolin-Barrette, who claimed he is ahead, following a heated final leadership debate and National Assembly prorogation. Party endorsements tilt toward Fréchette (41-19), underscoring her frontrunner status despite tightening dynamics.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,497
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Premier of Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Christine Fréchette" con 78%, seguido de "Bernard Drainville" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next Premier of Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next Premier of Quebec", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Premier of Quebec" es "Christine Fréchette" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernard Drainville" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Premier of Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.