Trader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 66% implied probability for April 8 TSA throughput, reflecting sustained spring break momentum tempered by post-Easter normalization on a midweek Tuesday. Recent data shows April 1 at 2.36M travelers, April 2 surging to 2.71M amid pre-holiday rushes, and late March peaks exceeding 2.75M during record volumes driven by 171 million projected spring passengers nationwide. Competitive pricing on 2.0M-2.2M (47.5%) anticipates a slight holiday dip, while 2.4M-2.6M (34.5%) hedges against lingering Easter demand. Storms delaying 5,600 flights over the weekend added volatility, but high airport projections like Atlanta's 8.3M for April bolster elevated expectations. Official TSA figures, typically released midday April 9, will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado>2.6M 10%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
$1,674 Vol.
$1,674 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
48%
2.2M-2.4M
66%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
10%
>2.6M 10%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
$1,674 Vol.
$1,674 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
48%
2.2M-2.4M
66%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
10%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 66% implied probability for April 8 TSA throughput, reflecting sustained spring break momentum tempered by post-Easter normalization on a midweek Tuesday. Recent data shows April 1 at 2.36M travelers, April 2 surging to 2.71M amid pre-holiday rushes, and late March peaks exceeding 2.75M during record volumes driven by 171 million projected spring passengers nationwide. Competitive pricing on 2.0M-2.2M (47.5%) anticipates a slight holiday dip, while 2.4M-2.6M (34.5%) hedges against lingering Easter demand. Storms delaying 5,600 flights over the weekend added volatility, but high airport projections like Atlanta's 8.3M for April bolster elevated expectations. Official TSA figures, typically released midday April 9, will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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