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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

Darializa Avila Chevalier 66%

Adriano Espaillat 30%

Oscar Romero 1.3%

Matt Miller <1%

Polymarket

$25,596 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier 66%

Adriano Espaillat 30%

Oscar Romero 1.3%

Matt Miller <1%

Polymarket

$25,596 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$3,831 Vol.

66%

Adriano Espaillat

$6,372 Vol.

30%

Oscar Romero

$5,288 Vol.

1%

Matt Miller

$3,384 Vol.

<1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$1,632 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$934 Vol.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Darializa Avila Chevalier leads the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 65.5% because the first-time candidate, endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America and Justice Democrats, has mobilized a progressive coalition that echoes recent local victories such as Zohran Mamdani’s strong 2025 mayoral primary performance. An April internal poll commissioned by her campaign revealed soft name recognition for five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 42% and showed her pulling ahead once voters learned her platform details. Espaillat has countered with intensified district outreach and party outreach ahead of the June 23 primary, while other listed candidates remain marginal. These dynamics, combined with Avila Chevalier’s recent fundraising edge in one quarter and petition challenges among campaigns, have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the closely contested odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$25,596
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Darializa Avila Chevalier leads the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 65.5% because the first-time candidate, endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America and Justice Democrats, has mobilized a progressive coalition that echoes recent local victories such as Zohran Mamdani’s strong 2025 mayoral primary performance. An April internal poll commissioned by her campaign revealed soft name recognition for five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 42% and showed her pulling ahead once voters learned her platform details. Espaillat has countered with intensified district outreach and party outreach ahead of the June 23 primary, while other listed candidates remain marginal. These dynamics, combined with Avila Chevalier’s recent fundraising edge in one quarter and petition challenges among campaigns, have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the closely contested odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$25,596
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 66%, seguido de "Adriano Espaillat" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" ha generado $25.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Adriano Espaillat" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.