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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

Darializa Avila Chevalier 53%

Adriano Espaillat 44%

Oscar Romero <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Polymarket

$28,265 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier 53%

Adriano Espaillat 44%

Oscar Romero <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Polymarket

$28,265 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$4,771 Vol.

53%

Adriano Espaillat

$7,702 Vol.

44%

Oscar Romero

$5,430 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$934 Vol.

<1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

Matt Miller

$3,641 Vol.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$1,632 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.NY-13’s Democratic primary on June 23 features incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat facing a serious challenge from community organizer Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat, who has held the seat since 2017 and chairs the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, built a strong local organization but now confronts organized progressive opposition backed by the New York DSA chapter and Justice Democrats. The race tightened sharply after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani endorsed Avila Chevalier in late May, reversing an earlier pledge of support for the incumbent and injecting fresh momentum and resources into the challenger’s campaign. Traders currently price Avila Chevalier slightly ahead, reflecting the impact of this high-profile endorsement alongside her stronger first-quarter fundraising performance against the nine-year incumbent in a district covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$28,265
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.NY-13’s Democratic primary on June 23 features incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat facing a serious challenge from community organizer Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat, who has held the seat since 2017 and chairs the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, built a strong local organization but now confronts organized progressive opposition backed by the New York DSA chapter and Justice Democrats. The race tightened sharply after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani endorsed Avila Chevalier in late May, reversing an earlier pledge of support for the incumbent and injecting fresh momentum and resources into the challenger’s campaign. Traders currently price Avila Chevalier slightly ahead, reflecting the impact of this high-profile endorsement alongside her stronger first-quarter fundraising performance against the nine-year incumbent in a district covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$28,265
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 53%, seguido de "Adriano Espaillat" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" ha generado $28.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Adriano Espaillat" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.