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icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Ronaldo Dimas 39%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%

Gaguim 37%

Professor Osvaldo 37%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ronaldo Dimas 39%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%

Gaguim 37%

Professor Osvaldo 37%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$41 Vol.

39%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$41 Vol.

38%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$41 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$41 Vol.

37%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$41 Vol.

36%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$41 Vol.

36%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$41 Vol.

32%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$41 Vol.

25%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$41 Vol.

24%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$41 Vol.

23%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$41 Vol.

20%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$41 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$533
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$533
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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41%
Sí
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¿Sebastião Coelho obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Gomes" con 41%, seguido de "Ronaldo Dimas" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es "Eduardo Gomes" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ronaldo Dimas" con 39%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.