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icon for ¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?

¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?

icon for ¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?

¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?

43% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

43% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month medical absence attributed to depression and hospitalization that began in early March. Since resuming duties, the New Jersey Republican has remained active in the 119th Congress, introducing legislation such as the Medicare Premiums Reduction Act and announcing community project funding through early August 2026. He also advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary for his competitive NJ-07 seat and continues to file required periodic transaction reports. No public statements, party actions, or procedural developments indicate an imminent resignation, retirement, or vacancy trigger before the current term concludes in January 2027. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 57.5% reflects these post-absence developments and the absence of new catalysts that would elevate early-departure risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$69
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month medical absence attributed to depression and hospitalization that began in early March. Since resuming duties, the New Jersey Republican has remained active in the 119th Congress, introducing legislation such as the Medicare Premiums Reduction Act and announcing community project funding through early August 2026. He also advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary for his competitive NJ-07 seat and continues to file required periodic transaction reports. No public statements, party actions, or procedural developments indicate an imminent resignation, retirement, or vacancy trigger before the current term concludes in January 2027. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 57.5% reflects these post-absence developments and the absence of new catalysts that would elevate early-departure risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$69
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Tom Kean Jr. fuera como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine su mandato?" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?" es "¿Tom Kean Jr. fuera como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine su mandato?" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Tom Kean Jr. saldrá como representante de EE. UU. antes de que termine el mandato?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.