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¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?

¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?

38.0–38.4 48%

37.5–37.9 27%

37.0–37.4 26%

39.0+ 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

38.0–38.4 48%

37.5–37.9 27%

37.0–37.4 26%

39.0+ 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<37.0

$20 Vol.

11%

37.0–37.4

$0 Vol.

26%

37.5–37.9

$0 Vol.

27%

38.0–38.4

$0 Vol.

48%

38.5–38.9

$0 Vol.

24%

39.0+

$0 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$20
Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$20
Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "38.0–38.4" con 48%, seguido de "37.5–37.9" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?" es "38.0–38.4" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "37.5–37.9" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 4 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.