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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33

Colin Allred 76%

Julie Johnson 25%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$68,561 Vol.

Colin Allred 76%

Julie Johnson 25%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$68,561 Vol.

Colin Allred

$31,214 Vol.

76%

Julie Johnson

$28,823 Vol.

25%

Carlos Quintanilla

$3,655 Vol.

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$4,869 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a commanding trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant March 3 primary performance—45.5% of the vote to U.S. Rep. Julie Johnson's 34%—bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising ($1 million raised, $679,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $759,000 and $487,000). Allred's name recognition from flipping TX-32 in 2018 and his narrow 2024 Senate bid against Ted Cruz further positions him ahead in the solidly Democratic, newly redrawn Dallas County district, where the nominee is favored in November. Johnson trails at 24.5% despite endorsements from Equality PAC and progressive figures, while Quintanilla (12.1%) and Hafeez (8.4%) faded in the initial round. Early voting begins May 18 amid attack ads on immigration and foreign policy records.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$68,561
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a commanding trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant March 3 primary performance—45.5% of the vote to U.S. Rep. Julie Johnson's 34%—bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising ($1 million raised, $679,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $759,000 and $487,000). Allred's name recognition from flipping TX-32 in 2018 and his narrow 2024 Senate bid against Ted Cruz further positions him ahead in the solidly Democratic, newly redrawn Dallas County district, where the nominee is favored in November. Johnson trails at 24.5% despite endorsements from Equality PAC and progressive figures, while Quintanilla (12.1%) and Hafeez (8.4%) faded in the initial round. Early voting begins May 18 amid attack ads on immigration and foreign policy records.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$68,561
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Colin Allred" con 76%, seguido de "Julie Johnson" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" ha generado $68.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" es "Colin Allred" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Julie Johnson" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.