Forecasters from the National Weather Service and NOAA are tracking a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary expected to influence precipitation patterns across parts of the eastern and central United States on September 1. Latest runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show moderate agreement on scattered showers and thunderstorms, with higher probabilities along coastal zones due to enhanced moisture transport and lift, while inland areas remain more uncertain depending on the exact steering flow. Historical climatology for early September indicates typical convective activity in these regions, but short-range model consensus and any revisions in the next 12–24 hours from official briefings will be the key drivers shifting market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde lloverá el 1 de septiembre?
Nueva York, NY
87%
Los Ángeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Filadelfia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
Nueva Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Nueva York, NY
87%
Los Ángeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Filadelfia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
Nueva Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fuente de resolución
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCResolver
0x65070BE91...Forecasters from the National Weather Service and NOAA are tracking a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary expected to influence precipitation patterns across parts of the eastern and central United States on September 1. Latest runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show moderate agreement on scattered showers and thunderstorms, with higher probabilities along coastal zones due to enhanced moisture transport and lift, while inland areas remain more uncertain depending on the exact steering flow. Historical climatology for early September indicates typical convective activity in these regions, but short-range model consensus and any revisions in the next 12–24 hours from official briefings will be the key drivers shifting market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes