Trader sentiment on the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting remains tightly contested, with Pakistan edging out "No Meeting by June 30" at 26.5% versus 26%, reflecting stalled indirect talks amid heightened regional tensions from Israel-Iran exchanges and Gaza dynamics. Pakistan's lead stems from recent reports of Islamabad offering to host as a neutral mediator, building on its ties to both Tehran and Washington, while traditional venues like Oman and Qatar hover lower due to perceived fatigue in prior rounds. Switzerland lags despite Geneva's precedent in nuclear pacts. The race stays close absent official envoy dispatches or State Department signals; a confirmed travel itinerary or joint statement could decisively separate frontrunners before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhere will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No Meeting by June 30 27%
Pakistan 27%
Switzerland 9%
Oman 7%
$15,231 Vol.
$15,231 Vol.
No Meeting by June 30
27%
Pakistan
27%
Switzerland
9%
Oman
7%
Qatar
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
No Meeting by June 30 27%
Pakistan 27%
Switzerland 9%
Oman 7%
$15,231 Vol.
$15,231 Vol.
No Meeting by June 30
27%
Pakistan
27%
Switzerland
9%
Oman
7%
Qatar
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting remains tightly contested, with Pakistan edging out "No Meeting by June 30" at 26.5% versus 26%, reflecting stalled indirect talks amid heightened regional tensions from Israel-Iran exchanges and Gaza dynamics. Pakistan's lead stems from recent reports of Islamabad offering to host as a neutral mediator, building on its ties to both Tehran and Washington, while traditional venues like Oman and Qatar hover lower due to perceived fatigue in prior rounds. Switzerland lags despite Geneva's precedent in nuclear pacts. The race stays close absent official envoy dispatches or State Department signals; a confirmed travel itinerary or joint statement could decisively separate frontrunners before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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