Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

abr 30

may 31

jun 30

abr 30

may 31

jun 30

Anthropic 69%

xAI 27%

Microsoft 26%

Z.ai 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Anthropic 69%

xAI 27%

Microsoft 26%

Z.ai 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO
Market icon

Anthropic

$20 Vol.

69%

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xAI

$0 Vol.

27%

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Microsoft

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Z.ai

$0 Vol.

25%

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ByteDance

$0 Vol.

24%

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Mistral

$0 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Meta

$0 Vol.

23%

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Amazon

$0 Vol.

22%

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DeepSeek

$0 Vol.

22%

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Google

$0 Vol.

20%

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Moonshot

$0 Vol.

14%

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OpenAI

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Alibaba

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Meituan

$0 Vol.

9%

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Baidu

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at a 74% implied probability to hold the top AI model by May 31, driven by its Claude Opus 4.6 and Mythos releases dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro (77.8% score, 20% ahead of GPT-5.4) and LMSYS Chatbot Arena. These large language models excel in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks, bolstered by Anthropic's rapid scaling to $30B run-rate and infrastructure edge, positioning it far ahead in the competitive landscape against OpenAI, Google, and xAI. Challengers like Z.ai (GLM-5 series, open-sourced and beating GPT variants) at 25%, Microsoft (25.5%), Mistral (24%), and DeepSeek (23%) reflect credible threats from recent frontier releases, though gaps persist; watch for May announcements from Big Tech labs that could narrow the field before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$20
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at a 74% implied probability to hold the top AI model by May 31, driven by its Claude Opus 4.6 and Mythos releases dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro (77.8% score, 20% ahead of GPT-5.4) and LMSYS Chatbot Arena. These large language models excel in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks, bolstered by Anthropic's rapid scaling to $30B run-rate and infrastructure edge, positioning it far ahead in the competitive landscape against OpenAI, Google, and xAI. Challengers like Z.ai (GLM-5 series, open-sourced and beating GPT variants) at 25%, Microsoft (25.5%), Mistral (24%), and DeepSeek (23%) reflect credible threats from recent frontier releases, though gaps persist; watch for May announcements from Big Tech labs that could narrow the field before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$20
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which company has the best AI model end of May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Anthropic" con 69%, seguido de "xAI" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Which company has the best AI model end of May?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Which company has the best AI model end of May?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which company has the best AI model end of May?" es "Anthropic" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "xAI" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which company has the best AI model end of May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.