Trader consensus assigns a 95% implied probability to Alberta not joining the United States, reflecting minimal momentum for separatism despite Premier Danielle Smith's recent lowering of referendum signature thresholds to facilitate citizen initiatives. Polls from early April 2026 show only 25-30% support for independence—let alone U.S. annexation—with a majority opposing separation amid economic risks as a landlocked entity reliant on pipelines through British Columbia or Montana. Separatist petitions circulate and U.S. figures like Trump allies have voiced rhetorical support following February meetings, but no referendum is scheduled, and Canadian constitutional amendments plus U.S. congressional approval pose insurmountable barriers absent a seismic shift in public opinion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus assigns a 95% implied probability to Alberta not joining the United States, reflecting minimal momentum for separatism despite Premier Danielle Smith's recent lowering of referendum signature thresholds to facilitate citizen initiatives. Polls from early April 2026 show only 25-30% support for independence—let alone U.S. annexation—with a majority opposing separation amid economic risks as a landlocked entity reliant on pipelines through British Columbia or Montana. Separatist petitions circulate and U.S. figures like Trump allies have voiced rhetorical support following February meetings, but no referendum is scheduled, and Canadian constitutional amendments plus U.S. congressional approval pose insurmountable barriers absent a seismic shift in public opinion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3,542Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus assigns a 95% implied probability to Alberta not joining the United States, reflecting minimal momentum for separatism despite Premier Danielle Smith's recent lowering of referendum signature thresholds to facilitate citizen initiatives. Polls from early April 2026 show only 25-30% support for independence—let alone U.S. annexation—with a majority opposing separation amid economic risks as a landlocked entity reliant on pipelines through British Columbia or Montana. Separatist petitions circulate and U.S. figures like Trump allies have voiced rhetorical support following February meetings, but no referendum is scheduled, and Canadian constitutional amendments plus U.S. congressional approval pose insurmountable barriers absent a seismic shift in public opinion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volumen
$3,542Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 95% implied probability to Alberta not joining the United States, reflecting minimal momentum for separatism despite Premier Danielle Smith's recent lowering of referendum signature thresholds to facilitate citizen initiatives. Polls from early April 2026 show only 25-30% support for independence—let alone U.S. annexation—with a majority opposing separation amid economic risks as a landlocked entity reliant on pipelines through British Columbia or Montana. Separatist petitions circulate and U.S. figures like Trump allies have voiced rhetorical support following February meetings, but no referendum is scheduled, and Canadian constitutional amendments plus U.S. congressional approval pose insurmountable barriers absent a seismic shift in public opinion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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