Anthropic's Claude AI has faced a string of outages in early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 12+ downtime days this month. Major disruptions include a nearly three-hour incident on April 15 affecting Claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code with elevated errors reported by thousands on Downdetector; intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13; and similar issues on April 7 and 6. These reflect infrastructure strains from surging demand and performance complaints, with no announced fixes amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling. Partial outage odds at 13% for 9-11 days account for potential stabilization, but traders anticipate continued unreliability through month-end absent major upgrades.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Claude bajará los __ días de abril?
¿Claude bajará los __ días de abril?
12+ 84%
9-11 13%
6-8 <1%
$63,791 Vol.
$63,791 Vol.
30 abr 2026
6-8
<1%
9-11
13%
12+
84%
12+ 84%
9-11 13%
6-8 <1%
$63,791 Vol.
$63,791 Vol.
30 abr 2026
6-8
$9,445 Vol.
<1%
9-11
$7,663 Vol.
13%
12+
$14,387 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has faced a string of outages in early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 12+ downtime days this month. Major disruptions include a nearly three-hour incident on April 15 affecting Claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code with elevated errors reported by thousands on Downdetector; intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13; and similar issues on April 7 and 6. These reflect infrastructure strains from surging demand and performance complaints, with no announced fixes amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling. Partial outage odds at 13% for 9-11 days account for potential stabilization, but traders anticipate continued unreliability through month-end absent major upgrades.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$63,791Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has faced a string of outages in early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 12+ downtime days this month. Major disruptions include a nearly three-hour incident on April 15 affecting Claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code with elevated errors reported by thousands on Downdetector; intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13; and similar issues on April 7 and 6. These reflect infrastructure strains from surging demand and performance complaints, with no announced fixes amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling. Partial outage odds at 13% for 9-11 days account for potential stabilization, but traders anticipate continued unreliability through month-end absent major upgrades.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$63,791Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude AI has faced a string of outages in early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 12+ downtime days this month. Major disruptions include a nearly three-hour incident on April 15 affecting Claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code with elevated errors reported by thousands on Downdetector; intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13; and similar issues on April 7 and 6. These reflect infrastructure strains from surging demand and performance complaints, with no announced fixes amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling. Partial outage odds at 13% for 9-11 days account for potential stabilization, but traders anticipate continued unreliability through month-end absent major upgrades.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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