**Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿James Fishback concederá el...?
¿James Fishback concederá el...?
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
18 de agosto
-
19 de agosto
99%
20 de agosto
-
$204 Vol.
18 de agosto
$4 Vol.
-
19 de agosto
$200 Vol.
99%
20 de agosto
$0 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. **Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volumen
$204Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. **Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volumen
$204Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Obtendrá James Fishback entre el 10 y el 15% de los votos en las primarias republicanas para gobernador de Florida?
99%
Sí
¿Ganará Byron Donalds la primaria republicana para gobernador de Florida por un 20–25%?
88%
Sí
¿Ganará el candidato del Partido Republicano la elección para gobernador de Florida en 2026 por un margen de 0%-3%?
43%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes