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Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$64,331 Vol.

30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$64,331 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$45,126 Vol.

No

June 15

$7,088 Vol.

Yes

June 30

$5,126 Vol.

Yes

September 30

$6,990 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that included reconciliation instructions directing the House and Senate Judiciary and Homeland Security committees to produce legislation increasing deficits by up to $70 billion, primarily to fund immigration enforcement through Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. The Senate completed its version, the Secure America Act, on June 5 after a vote-a-rama and passed it 52-47 along largely party lines. House committees completed markups in May, and the full chamber took up the measure in early June, where narrow majorities have produced close floor votes on similar packages. Passage hinges on unified Republican support in the House given the slim GOP edge, with any internal divisions over spending levels or policy riders potentially delaying or altering the outcome before scheduled procedural deadlines or the August recess.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$64,331
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that included reconciliation instructions directing the House and Senate Judiciary and Homeland Security committees to produce legislation increasing deficits by up to $70 billion, primarily to fund immigration enforcement through Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. The Senate completed its version, the Secure America Act, on June 5 after a vote-a-rama and passed it 52-47 along largely party lines. House committees completed markups in May, and the full chamber took up the measure in early June, where narrow majorities have produced close floor votes on similar packages. Passage hinges on unified Republican support in the House given the slim GOP edge, with any internal divisions over spending levels or policy riders potentially delaying or altering the outcome before scheduled procedural deadlines or the August recess.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$64,331
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "June 15" con 100%, seguido de "June 30" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" ha generado $64.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es "June 15" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "June 30" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.