High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
105-110 millones 30%
115-120 millones 15%
120-125 millones 15%
110-115 millones 10%
$10,330 Vol.
$10,330 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
<1%
85-90 millones
<1%
90-95 millones
3%
95-100 millones
1%
100-105 millones
3%
105-110 millones
30%
110-115 millones
10%
115-120 millones
15%
120-125 millones
15%
125-130 millones
8%
130 millones o más
4%
105-110 millones 30%
115-120 millones 15%
120-125 millones 15%
110-115 millones 10%
$10,330 Vol.
$10,330 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
$460 Vol.
<1%
85-90 millones
$496 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millones
$1,635 Vol.
3%
95-100 millones
$315 Vol.
1%
100-105 millones
$850 Vol.
3%
105-110 millones
$833 Vol.
30%
110-115 millones
$673 Vol.
10%
115-120 millones
$1,152 Vol.
15%
120-125 millones
$1,818 Vol.
15%
125-130 millones
$1,373 Vol.
8%
130 millones o más
$726 Vol.
4%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$10,330Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$10,330Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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