The competitive 2026 House elections, viewed as a referendum on the second Trump administration amid declining approval ratings and policy debates over the economy and immigration, are shaping trader expectations for total ballots cast. Recent primary turnout shows elevated Democratic participation alongside Republican mobilization efforts, while mid-decade redistricting in several states has increased the number of battleground districts. These dynamics, combined with ongoing voter registration trends and uncertainty over campaign intensity through November, keep the market tight between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges as the leading outcomes. Historical midterm participation patterns around 40-50 percent of eligible voters provide additional context for the current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
130 millones o más 44%
<85 millones 22.1%
115-120 millones 16%
125-130 millones 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
22%
85-90 millones
<1%
90-95 millones
1%
95-100 millones
1%
100-105 millones
4%
105-110 millones
5%
110-115 millones
11%
115-120 millones
16%
120-125 millones
21%
125-130 millones
21%
130 millones o más
26%
130 millones o más 44%
<85 millones 22.1%
115-120 millones 16%
125-130 millones 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
$371 Vol.
22%
85-90 millones
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millones
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 millones
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105 millones
$809 Vol.
4%
105-110 millones
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 millones
$549 Vol.
11%
115-120 millones
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125 millones
$408 Vol.
21%
125-130 millones
$1,204 Vol.
21%
130 millones o más
$318 Vol.
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive 2026 House elections, viewed as a referendum on the second Trump administration amid declining approval ratings and policy debates over the economy and immigration, are shaping trader expectations for total ballots cast. Recent primary turnout shows elevated Democratic participation alongside Republican mobilization efforts, while mid-decade redistricting in several states has increased the number of battleground districts. These dynamics, combined with ongoing voter registration trends and uncertainty over campaign intensity through November, keep the market tight between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges as the leading outcomes. Historical midterm participation patterns around 40-50 percent of eligible voters provide additional context for the current pricing.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,358Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive 2026 House elections, viewed as a referendum on the second Trump administration amid declining approval ratings and policy debates over the economy and immigration, are shaping trader expectations for total ballots cast. Recent primary turnout shows elevated Democratic participation alongside Republican mobilization efforts, while mid-decade redistricting in several states has increased the number of battleground districts. These dynamics, combined with ongoing voter registration trends and uncertainty over campaign intensity through November, keep the market tight between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges as the leading outcomes. Historical midterm participation patterns around 40-50 percent of eligible voters provide additional context for the current pricing.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,358Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive 2026 House elections, viewed as a referendum on the second Trump administration amid declining approval ratings and policy debates over the economy and immigration, are shaping trader expectations for total ballots cast. Recent primary turnout shows elevated Democratic participation alongside Republican mobilization efforts, while mid-decade redistricting in several states has increased the number of battleground districts. These dynamics, combined with ongoing voter registration trends and uncertainty over campaign intensity through November, keep the market tight between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges as the leading outcomes. Historical midterm participation patterns around 40-50 percent of eligible voters provide additional context for the current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes