Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority heading into the 2026 midterms, but generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 4-8 points amid typical midterm headwinds for the president's party. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities spread across seat ranges near or below 210, driven by factors including President Trump's approval ratings, voter concerns over the economy, and the impact of recent redistricting that offered Republicans some defensive advantages. Key variables such as candidate recruitment in battleground districts, turnout among core voting blocs, and any shifts in the national environment could determine whether seat losses remain modest or expand further. Upcoming polls and campaign developments through fall will likely influence positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Escaños republicanos en la Cámara de Representantes después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
¿Escaños republicanos en la Cámara de Representantes después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
Menos de 190 22%
210-214 14.8%
195-199 14%
200-204 13.4%
$280,383 Vol.
$280,383 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Menos de 190
22%
190-194
13%
195-199
14%
200-204
13%
205-209
13%
210-214
15%
215-219
7%
220-224
5%
225-229
7%
230+
2%
Menos de 190 22%
210-214 14.8%
195-199 14%
200-204 13.4%
$280,383 Vol.
$280,383 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Menos de 190
$30,284 Vol.
22%
190-194
$13,345 Vol.
13%
195-199
$32,393 Vol.
14%
200-204
$24,419 Vol.
13%
205-209
$39,343 Vol.
13%
210-214
$15,105 Vol.
15%
215-219
$11,341 Vol.
7%
220-224
$58,847 Vol.
5%
225-229
$24,618 Vol.
7%
230+
$30,688 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority heading into the 2026 midterms, but generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 4-8 points amid typical midterm headwinds for the president's party. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities spread across seat ranges near or below 210, driven by factors including President Trump's approval ratings, voter concerns over the economy, and the impact of recent redistricting that offered Republicans some defensive advantages. Key variables such as candidate recruitment in battleground districts, turnout among core voting blocs, and any shifts in the national environment could determine whether seat losses remain modest or expand further. Upcoming polls and campaign developments through fall will likely influence positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$280,383Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority heading into the 2026 midterms, but generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 4-8 points amid typical midterm headwinds for the president's party. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities spread across seat ranges near or below 210, driven by factors including President Trump's approval ratings, voter concerns over the economy, and the impact of recent redistricting that offered Republicans some defensive advantages. Key variables such as candidate recruitment in battleground districts, turnout among core voting blocs, and any shifts in the national environment could determine whether seat losses remain modest or expand further. Upcoming polls and campaign developments through fall will likely influence positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$280,383Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority heading into the 2026 midterms, but generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 4-8 points amid typical midterm headwinds for the president's party. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities spread across seat ranges near or below 210, driven by factors including President Trump's approval ratings, voter concerns over the economy, and the impact of recent redistricting that offered Republicans some defensive advantages. Key variables such as candidate recruitment in battleground districts, turnout among core voting blocs, and any shifts in the national environment could determine whether seat losses remain modest or expand further. Upcoming polls and campaign developments through fall will likely influence positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Tendrán los republicanos entre 47 y 49 escaños en el Senado y entre 193 y 207 escaños en la Cámara después de las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
18%
Sí
¿Tendrá el Partido Republicano 47 o menos escaños en el Senado después de las elecciones de medio término de 2026?
24%
Sí
¿Los republicanos obtienen la trifecta con supermayoría en el Senado en las elecciones de medio término?
5%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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