Trump's approval ratings have declined steadily through 2026 amid U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel, which disrupted global oil flows, elevated gasoline prices, and raised voter concerns about a prolonged conflict. Recent polls place his job approval between 33% and 38%, with the year's early peak near 40-41% before the downturn accelerated. Economic pressures and partisan gaps remain central drivers, while the November midterms introduce potential volatility as Republicans defend congressional majorities. Traders weigh whether de-escalation, policy shifts, or economic stabilization could lift ratings before year-end versus sustained headwinds from foreign policy and household costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
NUEVO
30 dic 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
6%
↑ 47%
11%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
$7,539 Vol.
↑ 44%
$3,192 Vol.
6%
↑ 45%
$320 Vol.
6%
↑ 46%
$1,036 Vol.
6%
↑ 47%
$480 Vol.
11%
↑ 48%
$779 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$656 Vol.
4%
↑ 50%
$1,075 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval ratings have declined steadily through 2026 amid U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel, which disrupted global oil flows, elevated gasoline prices, and raised voter concerns about a prolonged conflict. Recent polls place his job approval between 33% and 38%, with the year's early peak near 40-41% before the downturn accelerated. Economic pressures and partisan gaps remain central drivers, while the November midterms introduce potential volatility as Republicans defend congressional majorities. Traders weigh whether de-escalation, policy shifts, or economic stabilization could lift ratings before year-end versus sustained headwinds from foreign policy and household costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$7,539Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval ratings have declined steadily through 2026 amid U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel, which disrupted global oil flows, elevated gasoline prices, and raised voter concerns about a prolonged conflict. Recent polls place his job approval between 33% and 38%, with the year's early peak near 40-41% before the downturn accelerated. Economic pressures and partisan gaps remain central drivers, while the November midterms introduce potential volatility as Republicans defend congressional majorities. Traders weigh whether de-escalation, policy shifts, or economic stabilization could lift ratings before year-end versus sustained headwinds from foreign policy and household costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$7,539Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval ratings have declined steadily through 2026 amid U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel, which disrupted global oil flows, elevated gasoline prices, and raised voter concerns about a prolonged conflict. Recent polls place his job approval between 33% and 38%, with the year's early peak near 40-41% before the downturn accelerated. Economic pressures and partisan gaps remain central drivers, while the November midterms introduce potential volatility as Republicans defend congressional majorities. Traders weigh whether de-escalation, policy shifts, or economic stabilization could lift ratings before year-end versus sustained headwinds from foreign policy and household costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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