Michael Thorbjornsen holds a commanding position in the FedEx St. Jude Championship first-round leader market following his opening 65 at TPC Southwind. Fresh off his first PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Classic, where he closed with a 63 to finish 18 under, the 24-year-old has carried strong form and course management into Memphis. His current five-under total after 18 holes reflects precise approach play and putting that outpaced the field on a demanding layout. With round one complete, the implied probability reflects confirmed scoring rather than pre-tournament projections. Late surges by players still on the course or scorecard adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the outright result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichael Thorbjornsen 100.0%
Patrick Rodgers 9.1%
Michael Kim 1.0%
Ludvig Aberg <1%
$98,667 Vol.
$98,667 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
Ludvig Aberg
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Sam Burns
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Ricky Castillo
No
Bud Cauley
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Eric Cole
No
Corey Conners
No
Pierceson Coody
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Harris English
No
Steven Fisk
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Fox
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Ben Griffin
No
Harry Hall
No
Brian Harman
No
Russell Henley
No
Ryo Hisatsune
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
No
Max Homa
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Sung-Jae Im
No
Michael Kim
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Tom Kim
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Jake Knapp
No
Jackson Koivun
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Shane Lowry
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Matt McCarty
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Keith Mitchell
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Alexander Noren
No
JT Poston
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Aaron Rai
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Patrick Rodgers
No
Justin Rose
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Matthias Schmid
No
Adam Scott
No
Alex Smalley
No
Jordan L. Smith
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Sam Stevens
No
Sepp Straka
No
Nick Taylor
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Justin Thomas
No
Michael Thorbjornsen
Yes
Gary Woodland
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Cameron Young
No
Michael Thorbjornsen 100.0%
Patrick Rodgers 9.1%
Michael Kim 1.0%
Ludvig Aberg <1%
$98,667 Vol.
$98,667 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
Ludvig Aberg
$6 Vol.
No
Akshay Bhatia
$6 Vol.
No
Jacob Bridgeman
$6 Vol.
No
Sam Burns
$5 Vol.
No
Patrick Cantlay
$5 Vol.
No
Ricky Castillo
$164 Vol.
No
Bud Cauley
$6 Vol.
No
Wyndham Clark
$6 Vol.
No
Eric Cole
$6 Vol.
No
Corey Conners
$6 Vol.
No
Pierceson Coody
$167 Vol.
No
Nicolas Echavarria
$172 Vol.
No
Harris English
$6 Vol.
No
Steven Fisk
$17 Vol.
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
$6 Vol.
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
$6 Vol.
No
Tommy Fleetwood
$6 Vol.
No
Rickie Fowler
$6 Vol.
No
Ryan Fox
$6 Vol.
No
Ryan Gerard
$6 Vol.
No
Chris Gotterup
$5 Vol.
No
Ben Griffin
$6 Vol.
No
Harry Hall
$164 Vol.
No
Brian Harman
$6 Vol.
No
Russell Henley
$5 Vol.
No
Ryo Hisatsune
$164 Vol.
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
$6 Vol.
No
Max Homa
$164 Vol.
No
Viktor Hovland
$1 Vol.
No
Sung-Jae Im
$6 Vol.
No
Michael Kim
$1,327 Vol.
No
Si Woo Kim
$5 Vol.
No
Tom Kim
$6 Vol.
No
Kurt Kitayama
$13,287 Vol.
No
Jake Knapp
$11,703 Vol.
No
Jackson Koivun
$6 Vol.
No
Min Woo Lee
$6 Vol.
No
Shane Lowry
$6 Vol.
No
Robert MacIntyre
$6 Vol.
No
Hideki Matsuyama
$6 Vol.
No
Matt McCarty
$164 Vol.
No
Rory McIlroy
$1 Vol.
No
Maverick McNealy
$6 Vol.
No
Keith Mitchell
$7 Vol.
No
Collin Morikawa
$6 Vol.
No
Alexander Noren
$6 Vol.
No
JT Poston
$1 Vol.
No
Aldrich Potgieter
$171 Vol.
No
Aaron Rai
$6 Vol.
No
Kristoffer Reitan
$6 Vol.
No
Patrick Rodgers
$167 Vol.
No
Justin Rose
$6 Vol.
No
Xander Schauffele
$6 Vol.
No
Scottie Scheffler
$6 Vol.
No
Matthias Schmid
$163 Vol.
No
Adam Scott
$6 Vol.
No
Alex Smalley
$6 Vol.
No
Jordan L. Smith
$6 Vol.
No
J.J. Spaun
$1 Vol.
No
Jordan Spieth
$20,952 Vol.
No
Sam Stevens
$162 Vol.
No
Sepp Straka
$121 Vol.
No
Nick Taylor
$6 Vol.
No
Sahith Theegala
$164 Vol.
No
Justin Thomas
$5 Vol.
No
Michael Thorbjornsen
$48,897 Vol.
Yes
Gary Woodland
$6 Vol.
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
$111 Vol.
No
Cameron Young
$1 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.Michael Thorbjornsen holds a commanding position in the FedEx St. Jude Championship first-round leader market following his opening 65 at TPC Southwind. Fresh off his first PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Classic, where he closed with a 63 to finish 18 under, the 24-year-old has carried strong form and course management into Memphis. His current five-under total after 18 holes reflects precise approach play and putting that outpaced the field on a demanding layout. With round one complete, the implied probability reflects confirmed scoring rather than pre-tournament projections. Late surges by players still on the course or scorecard adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the outright result.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$98,667End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.Michael Thorbjornsen holds a commanding position in the FedEx St. Jude Championship first-round leader market following his opening 65 at TPC Southwind. Fresh off his first PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Classic, where he closed with a 63 to finish 18 under, the 24-year-old has carried strong form and course management into Memphis. His current five-under total after 18 holes reflects precise approach play and putting that outpaced the field on a demanding layout. With round one complete, the implied probability reflects confirmed scoring rather than pre-tournament projections. Late surges by players still on the course or scorecard adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the outright result.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$98,667End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Michael Thorbjornsen holds a commanding position in the FedEx St. Jude Championship first-round leader market following his opening 65 at TPC Southwind. Fresh off his first PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Classic, where he closed with a 63 to finish 18 under, the 24-year-old has carried strong form and course management into Memphis. His current five-under total after 18 holes reflects precise approach play and putting that outpaced the field on a demanding layout. With round one complete, the implied probability reflects confirmed scoring rather than pre-tournament projections. Late surges by players still on the course or scorecard adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the outright result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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