Apple shares closed September 11 at approximately $332 amid heightened volatility following the September 9 product event, where the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro lineup starting at $1,199 and its first foldable iPhone Duo at $1,999 under new CEO John Ternus. Preorders open September 12 with availability on September 18, directly overlapping the resolution week and creating a key test of premium demand and mix shift. Strong fiscal Q3 results showed 16% revenue growth and 50.1% gross margins, yet elevated valuations and pricing concerns introduce uncertainty, as reflected in the tightly clustered 49.5–50.5% probabilities across $310–$355 buckets that capture potential swings from launch momentum or early sell-through data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$310 21%
$310-$315 21%
$315-$320 21%
$320-$325 21%
<$310
21%
$310-$315
21%
$315-$320
21%
$320-$325
21%
$325-$330
21%
$330-$335
21%
$335-$340
21%
$340-$345
21%
$345-$350
21%
$350-$355
21%
>$355
21%
<$310 21%
$310-$315 21%
$315-$320 21%
$320-$325 21%
<$310
21%
$310-$315
21%
$315-$320
21%
$320-$325
21%
$325-$330
21%
$330-$335
21%
$335-$340
21%
$340-$345
21%
$345-$350
21%
$350-$355
21%
>$355
21%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple shares closed September 11 at approximately $332 amid heightened volatility following the September 9 product event, where the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro lineup starting at $1,199 and its first foldable iPhone Duo at $1,999 under new CEO John Ternus. Preorders open September 12 with availability on September 18, directly overlapping the resolution week and creating a key test of premium demand and mix shift. Strong fiscal Q3 results showed 16% revenue growth and 50.1% gross margins, yet elevated valuations and pricing concerns introduce uncertainty, as reflected in the tightly clustered 49.5–50.5% probabilities across $310–$355 buckets that capture potential swings from launch momentum or early sell-through data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions