The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$18,782 ปริมาณ
$18,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,782 ปริมาณ
$18,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,183 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$7,599 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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