Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a narrow contest for second place, with the Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties and the Greens not far behind. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation that has lifted the Linke and AfD while eroding support for the governing CDU-SPD coalition, alongside stable but lower Green numbers. Traders price the CDU highest for second because it remains competitive for first in several surveys and benefits from established organizational strength, though small polling margins and undecided voters leave room for shifts in final turnout or late campaign momentum. The Greens and SPD trail due to weaker recent results and limited coalition upside in current projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 36%
AfD 29%
Linke 21%
Grüne 9%
$28,172 Vol.
$28,172 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
36%
AfD
29%
Linke
20%
Grüne
9%
SPD
4%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 36%
AfD 29%
Linke 21%
Grüne 9%
$28,172 Vol.
$28,172 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,822 Vol.
36%
AfD
$7,147 Vol.
29%
Linke
$5,964 Vol.
20%
Grüne
$5,604 Vol.
9%
SPD
$3,526 Vol.
4%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a narrow contest for second place, with the Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties and the Greens not far behind. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation that has lifted the Linke and AfD while eroding support for the governing CDU-SPD coalition, alongside stable but lower Green numbers. Traders price the CDU highest for second because it remains competitive for first in several surveys and benefits from established organizational strength, though small polling margins and undecided voters leave room for shifts in final turnout or late campaign momentum. The Greens and SPD trail due to weaker recent results and limited coalition upside in current projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$28,172End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a narrow contest for second place, with the Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties and the Greens not far behind. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation that has lifted the Linke and AfD while eroding support for the governing CDU-SPD coalition, alongside stable but lower Green numbers. Traders price the CDU highest for second because it remains competitive for first in several surveys and benefits from established organizational strength, though small polling margins and undecided voters leave room for shifts in final turnout or late campaign momentum. The Greens and SPD trail due to weaker recent results and limited coalition upside in current projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$28,172End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a narrow contest for second place, with the Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties and the Greens not far behind. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation that has lifted the Linke and AfD while eroding support for the governing CDU-SPD coalition, alongside stable but lower Green numbers. Traders price the CDU highest for second because it remains competitive for first in several surveys and benefits from established organizational strength, though small polling margins and undecided voters leave room for shifts in final turnout or late campaign momentum. The Greens and SPD trail due to weaker recent results and limited coalition upside in current projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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