Atlético Madrid's home dominance (13-1-2 in La Liga) and Real Sociedad's defensive injury crisis—with centre-back Igor Zubeldia (hamstring) and Jon Gorrotxategi (muscle) ruled out until late April—anchor trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the hosts in this Copa del Rey knockout tie. Sitting 4th in the La Liga table on 57 points (17-6-8 record), Atlético hold an edge over 7th-placed Sociedad (11-9-11), reinforced by recent head-to-head superiority (unbeaten in last six: four wins, two draws, including 3-2 victory in March). Sociedad's 2-0 win over Alavés last weekend offers momentum, but vulnerabilities persist, keeping the matchup closely contested with draw (27%) and away win (21.5%) viable amid knockout stakes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.rfef.es/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.rfef.es/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Atlético Madrid's home dominance (13-1-2 in La Liga) and Real Sociedad's defensive injury crisis—with centre-back Igor Zubeldia (hamstring) and Jon Gorrotxategi (muscle) ruled out until late April—anchor trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the hosts in this Copa del Rey knockout tie. Sitting 4th in the La Liga table on 57 points (17-6-8 record), Atlético hold an edge over 7th-placed Sociedad (11-9-11), reinforced by recent head-to-head superiority (unbeaten in last six: four wins, two draws, including 3-2 victory in March). Sociedad's 2-0 win over Alavés last weekend offers momentum, but vulnerabilities persist, keeping the matchup closely contested with draw (27%) and away win (21.5%) viable amid knockout stakes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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