Chelsea's top-six Premier League standing and squad depth make them the trader consensus favorite at 55.5% implied probability for the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, despite a recent 3-0 loss to Manchester City and key absences including Reece James, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Jamie Gittens, and Filip Jörgensen. Leeds United, sitting 15th amid a relegation battle, show upset potential at 20.5% after their first semi-final since 1987—capped by a penalty shootout win over West Ham and a 2-1 victory at Manchester United—but face doubts over Anton Stach and Joe Rodon's ankle injuries from the quarters. The 24.5% draw price mirrors their tense February Premier League 2-2 stalemate, underscoring a closely contested neutral-venue clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chelsea's top-six Premier League standing and squad depth make them the trader consensus favorite at 55.5% implied probability for the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, despite a recent 3-0 loss to Manchester City and key absences including Reece James, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Jamie Gittens, and Filip Jörgensen. Leeds United, sitting 15th amid a relegation battle, show upset potential at 20.5% after their first semi-final since 1987—capped by a penalty shootout win over West Ham and a 2-1 victory at Manchester United—but face doubts over Anton Stach and Joe Rodon's ankle injuries from the quarters. The 24.5% draw price mirrors their tense February Premier League 2-2 stalemate, underscoring a closely contested neutral-venue clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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