In a crucial EFL League One promotion showdown pitting second-placed Cardiff City against fourth-placed Bolton Wanderers, trader consensus implies a 53% probability for a home win, 24% for Bolton, and 23% draw, underscoring the closely contested nature amid both teams' recent form dips. Cardiff hold a slight edge via home advantage at Cardiff City Stadium, a game in hand, and top scorer Yousef Salech's return to the bench in Monday's 1-1 draw at Peterborough United, though defensive woes mount with Calum Chambers sidelined by a wrist injury, Gabriel Osho suspended, and Dylan Lawlor out with a toe issue. Bolton, draw specialists lately (0-0 vs Doncaster, 2-2 at Stockport), contend without season-ending thigh victim Corey Blackett-Taylor, amplifying Cardiff's positioning in the table race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Cardiff City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Cardiff City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In a crucial EFL League One promotion showdown pitting second-placed Cardiff City against fourth-placed Bolton Wanderers, trader consensus implies a 53% probability for a home win, 24% for Bolton, and 23% draw, underscoring the closely contested nature amid both teams' recent form dips. Cardiff hold a slight edge via home advantage at Cardiff City Stadium, a game in hand, and top scorer Yousef Salech's return to the bench in Monday's 1-1 draw at Peterborough United, though defensive woes mount with Calum Chambers sidelined by a wrist injury, Gabriel Osho suspended, and Dylan Lawlor out with a toe issue. Bolton, draw specialists lately (0-0 vs Doncaster, 2-2 at Stockport), contend without season-ending thigh victim Corey Blackett-Taylor, amplifying Cardiff's positioning in the table race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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