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Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Israel 39%

Finland 16%

Greece 13%

Romania 6.3%

Polymarket

$5,637,913 Vol.

Israel 39%

Finland 16%

Greece 13%

Romania 6.3%

Polymarket

$5,637,913 Vol.

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Israel

$71,203 Vol.

39%

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Finland

$29,690 Vol.

16%

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Greece

$28,343 Vol.

13%

Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Romania

$51,032 Vol.

6%

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Ukraine

$53,784 Vol.

5%

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Sweden

$1,888,546 Vol.

3%

Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

France

$548,645 Vol.

2%

Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Italy

$92,838 Vol.

2%

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Moldova

$262,299 Vol.

2%

Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Cyprus

$138,161 Vol.

1%

Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Denmark

$1,382,531 Vol.

1%

Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Australia

$80,250 Vol.

1%

Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Montenegro

$28,692 Vol.

1%

Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Switzerland

$67,833 Vol.

1%

Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Poland

$224,590 Vol.

1%

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgaria

$19,051 Vol.

1%

Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Croatia

$24,581 Vol.

1%

Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Germany

$46,196 Vol.

1%

Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Malta

$28,319 Vol.

1%

Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Austria

$33,232 Vol.

<1%

Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Belgium

$57,528 Vol.

<1%

Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Estonia

$197,997 Vol.

<1%

Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Luxembourg

$45,651 Vol.

<1%

Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

San Marino

$36,550 Vol.

<1%

Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

United Kingdom

$22,744 Vol.

<1%

Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Czechia

$16,993 Vol.

<1%

Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Albania

$16,338 Vol.

<1%

Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Latvia

$16,555 Vol.

<1%

Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Lithuania

$14,783 Vol.

<1%

Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Serbia

$20,681 Vol.

<1%

Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Azerbaijan

$28,096 Vol.

<1%

Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Norway

$15,737 Vol.

<1%

Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Portugal

$17,259 Vol.

<1%

Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Armenia

$18,489 Vol.

<1%

Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Georgia

$12,698 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 39% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, fueled by the HaKokhav HaBa winner's explosive national final performance, surging streams exceeding 1.1 million views, and Israel's proven diaspora voting bloc that dominated the 2024 public vote. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") trail at 15.5% after clinching UMK on March 1 amid anti-Israel protests, buoyed by strong overall frontrunner status and Nordic appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds 13% on OGAE fan poll momentum from Sing for Greece. Trader consensus reflects these entries' viral hooks and cultural buzz, with semi-finals in May poised to shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,637,913
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 39% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, fueled by the HaKokhav HaBa winner's explosive national final performance, surging streams exceeding 1.1 million views, and Israel's proven diaspora voting bloc that dominated the 2024 public vote. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") trail at 15.5% after clinching UMK on March 1 amid anti-Israel protests, buoyed by strong overall frontrunner status and Nordic appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds 13% on OGAE fan poll momentum from Sing for Greece. Trader consensus reflects these entries' viral hooks and cultural buzz, with semi-finals in May poised to shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,637,913
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 39%, followed by "Finland" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" has generated $5.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is "Israel" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Finland" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.