Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 39% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, fueled by the HaKokhav HaBa winner's explosive national final performance, surging streams exceeding 1.1 million views, and Israel's proven diaspora voting bloc that dominated the 2024 public vote. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") trail at 15.5% after clinching UMK on March 1 amid anti-Israel protests, buoyed by strong overall frontrunner status and Nordic appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds 13% on OGAE fan poll momentum from Sing for Greece. Trader consensus reflects these entries' viral hooks and cultural buzz, with semi-finals in May poised to shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 39%
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Romania 6.3%
$5,637,913 Vol.
$5,637,913 Vol.

Israel
39%

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Romania
6%

Ukraine
5%

Sweden
3%

France
2%

Italy
2%

Moldova
2%

Cyprus
1%

Denmark
1%

Australia
1%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

Malta
1%

Austria
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

San Marino
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 39%
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Romania 6.3%
$5,637,913 Vol.
$5,637,913 Vol.

Israel
39%

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Romania
6%

Ukraine
5%

Sweden
3%

France
2%

Italy
2%

Moldova
2%

Cyprus
1%

Denmark
1%

Australia
1%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

Malta
1%

Austria
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

San Marino
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 39% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, fueled by the HaKokhav HaBa winner's explosive national final performance, surging streams exceeding 1.1 million views, and Israel's proven diaspora voting bloc that dominated the 2024 public vote. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") trail at 15.5% after clinching UMK on March 1 amid anti-Israel protests, buoyed by strong overall frontrunner status and Nordic appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds 13% on OGAE fan poll momentum from Sing for Greece. Trader consensus reflects these entries' viral hooks and cultural buzz, with semi-finals in May poised to shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions