Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the United Kingdom at 26% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 last place, driven by the March 6 release of its polarizing experimental synth-pop entry "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by tech tinkerer Look Mum No Computer, which early fan polls and social buzz deem too niche for broad televote appeal amid the UK's dismal track record of bottom-tier finishes. Austria follows at 20%, as host nation's national final winner Cosmó's dance track "Tanzschein" struggles with lukewarm reception despite home Vienna advantage at Wiener Stadthalle semis May 12-14. Latvia's "Ēnā" by Atvara lags at 11.2% on perennial Baltic underperformance, with Germany and Switzerland close amid competitive Big 5 dynamics; first rehearsals next week could shift jury-favored narratives before the May 16 final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
Austria 20%
United Kingdom 20%
Germany 10%
Luxembourg 7.9%
$56,773 Vol.
$56,773 Vol.
Austria
20%
United Kingdom
26%
Germany
10%
Luxembourg
8%
Poland
8%
Cyprus
6%
Malta
6%
Georgia
5%
Albania
5%
San Marino
5%
Denmark
4%
Belgium
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Italy
4%
Montenegro
4%
Armenia
3%
Portugal
3%
Moldova
3%
Czechia
3%
Serbia
3%
Australia
3%
Bulgaria
2%
Croatia
2%
Estonia
7%
Latvia
12%
Israel
2%
Romania
2%
Lithuania
2%
Greece
1%
Switzerland
9%
France
1%
Norway
6%
Sweden
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
<1%
Austria 20%
United Kingdom 20%
Germany 10%
Luxembourg 7.9%
$56,773 Vol.
$56,773 Vol.
Austria
20%
United Kingdom
26%
Germany
10%
Luxembourg
8%
Poland
8%
Cyprus
6%
Malta
6%
Georgia
5%
Albania
5%
San Marino
5%
Denmark
4%
Belgium
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Italy
4%
Montenegro
4%
Armenia
3%
Portugal
3%
Moldova
3%
Czechia
3%
Serbia
3%
Australia
3%
Bulgaria
2%
Croatia
2%
Estonia
7%
Latvia
12%
Israel
2%
Romania
2%
Lithuania
2%
Greece
1%
Switzerland
9%
France
1%
Norway
6%
Sweden
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the United Kingdom at 26% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 last place, driven by the March 6 release of its polarizing experimental synth-pop entry "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by tech tinkerer Look Mum No Computer, which early fan polls and social buzz deem too niche for broad televote appeal amid the UK's dismal track record of bottom-tier finishes. Austria follows at 20%, as host nation's national final winner Cosmó's dance track "Tanzschein" struggles with lukewarm reception despite home Vienna advantage at Wiener Stadthalle semis May 12-14. Latvia's "Ēnā" by Atvara lags at 11.2% on perennial Baltic underperformance, with Germany and Switzerland close amid competitive Big 5 dynamics; first rehearsals next week could shift jury-favored narratives before the May 16 final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions