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Sports·Formula 1

British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$175,367 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$175,367 Vol.

Pierre Gasly

$463 Vol.

No

Fernando Alonso

$643 Vol.

No

Alexander Albon

$390 Vol.

No

Gabriel Bortoleto

$418 Vol.

No

Sergio Perez

$378 Vol.

No

Charles Leclerc

$17,338 Vol.

No

Esteban Ocon

$382 Vol.

No

Lando Norris

$8,042 Vol.

No

Kimi Antonelli

$49,959 Vol.

Yes

Max Verstappen

$18,007 Vol.

No

Franco Colapinto

$382 Vol.

No

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$401 Vol.

No

Nico Hulkenberg

$369 Vol.

No

Valtteri Bottas

$427 Vol.

No

Lewis Hamilton

$26,597 Vol.

No

Oliver Bearman

$531 Vol.

No

Oscar Piastri

$8,109 Vol.

No

George Russell

$30,195 Vol.

No

Arvid Lindblad

$382 Vol.

No

Isack Hadjar

$11,082 Vol.

No

Liam Lawson

$432 Vol.

No

Lance Stroll

$437 Vol.

No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**Silverstone's high-speed layout and the 2026 British Grand Prix's proximity keep qualifying margins razor-thin among frontrunners.** Kimi Antonelli's championship lead and Mercedes pace underpin his 27.5% implied probability, while teammate George Russell benefits from strong home form and consistent one-lap speed. Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc sit close behind on recent qualifying strength and track familiarity, with McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri competitive on outright pace despite slightly lower standings. Max Verstappen's Red Bull experience adds another threat in variable conditions. The clustered probabilities among the top six reflect balanced car performance, limited practice data this close to the July 5 event, and the inherent volatility of Silverstone qualifying sessions.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$175,367
End Date
Jul 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**Silverstone's high-speed layout and the 2026 British Grand Prix's proximity keep qualifying margins razor-thin among frontrunners.** Kimi Antonelli's championship lead and Mercedes pace underpin his 27.5% implied probability, while teammate George Russell benefits from strong home form and consistent one-lap speed. Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc sit close behind on recent qualifying strength and track familiarity, with McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri competitive on outright pace despite slightly lower standings. Max Verstappen's Red Bull experience adds another threat in variable conditions. The clustered probabilities among the top six reflect balanced car performance, limited practice data this close to the July 5 event, and the inherent volatility of Silverstone qualifying sessions.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$175,367
End Date
Jul 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, followed by "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" has generated $175.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "British Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.