Kimi Antonelli's stunning Q3 lap of 1:27.798 secured pole position for Mercedes at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, beating Max Verstappen by just 0.166 seconds and extending Mercedes' qualifying dominance with Antonelli's third straight pole after China and Japan. This performance, following McLaren's sprint pole via Lando Norris, underscores Mercedes' superior single-lap pace on the Miami International Autodrome amid variable track conditions. Trader consensus prices Mercedes at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting the near-lock on constructor pole as the fastest qualifier. Realistic challenges include potential FIA penalties from track limits investigations or post-session protests that could demote Antonelli, opening doors for Red Bull, Ferrari, or Alpine on the provisional grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$10,322 Vol.
$10,322 Vol.
May 8, 2026
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
No
Mercedes
Yes
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
Mercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$10,322 Vol.
$10,322 Vol.
May 8, 2026
Alpine
$182 Vol.
No
Aston Martin
$607 Vol.
No
Williams
$515 Vol.
No
Audi Revolut
$185 Vol.
No
Cadillac
$438 Vol.
No
Ferrari
$198 Vol.
No
Tgr Haas
$185 Vol.
No
Mclaren Mastercard
$3,533 Vol.
No
Mercedes
$4,049 Vol.
Yes
Red Bull
$245 Vol.
No
Racing Bulls
$185 Vol.
No
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's stunning Q3 lap of 1:27.798 secured pole position for Mercedes at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, beating Max Verstappen by just 0.166 seconds and extending Mercedes' qualifying dominance with Antonelli's third straight pole after China and Japan. This performance, following McLaren's sprint pole via Lando Norris, underscores Mercedes' superior single-lap pace on the Miami International Autodrome amid variable track conditions. Trader consensus prices Mercedes at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting the near-lock on constructor pole as the fastest qualifier. Realistic challenges include potential FIA penalties from track limits investigations or post-session protests that could demote Antonelli, opening doors for Red Bull, Ferrari, or Alpine on the provisional grid.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Volume
$10,322End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's stunning Q3 lap of 1:27.798 secured pole position for Mercedes at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, beating Max Verstappen by just 0.166 seconds and extending Mercedes' qualifying dominance with Antonelli's third straight pole after China and Japan. This performance, following McLaren's sprint pole via Lando Norris, underscores Mercedes' superior single-lap pace on the Miami International Autodrome amid variable track conditions. Trader consensus prices Mercedes at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting the near-lock on constructor pole as the fastest qualifier. Realistic challenges include potential FIA penalties from track limits investigations or post-session protests that could demote Antonelli, opening doors for Red Bull, Ferrari, or Alpine on the provisional grid.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$10,322End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kimi Antonelli's stunning Q3 lap of 1:27.798 secured pole position for Mercedes at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, beating Max Verstappen by just 0.166 seconds and extending Mercedes' qualifying dominance with Antonelli's third straight pole after China and Japan. This performance, following McLaren's sprint pole via Lando Norris, underscores Mercedes' superior single-lap pace on the Miami International Autodrome amid variable track conditions. Trader consensus prices Mercedes at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting the near-lock on constructor pole as the fastest qualifier. Realistic challenges include potential FIA penalties from track limits investigations or post-session protests that could demote Antonelli, opening doors for Red Bull, Ferrari, or Alpine on the provisional grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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