France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear favorite, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, strong recent form in friendlies, and a favorable schedule that includes matches against Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard providing attacking firepower, though limited depth and tough fixtures against France limit their upside. Senegal’s physical style and tournament experience position them as a realistic challenger for second, while Iraq, the intercontinental playoff winner, faces steep challenges against the group’s established sides. The implied probabilities reflect these established hierarchies and recent preparations heading into June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFrance 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq <1%
$141,189 Vol.
$141,189 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
71%
Norway
22%
Senegal
9%
Iraq
1%
France 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq <1%
$141,189 Vol.
$141,189 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$61,434 Vol.
71%
Norway
$16,662 Vol.
22%
Senegal
$18,565 Vol.
9%
Iraq
$44,527 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear favorite, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, strong recent form in friendlies, and a favorable schedule that includes matches against Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard providing attacking firepower, though limited depth and tough fixtures against France limit their upside. Senegal’s physical style and tournament experience position them as a realistic challenger for second, while Iraq, the intercontinental playoff winner, faces steep challenges against the group’s established sides. The implied probabilities reflect these established hierarchies and recent preparations heading into June.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$141,189End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear favorite, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, strong recent form in friendlies, and a favorable schedule that includes matches against Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard providing attacking firepower, though limited depth and tough fixtures against France limit their upside. Senegal’s physical style and tournament experience position them as a realistic challenger for second, while Iraq, the intercontinental playoff winner, faces steep challenges against the group’s established sides. The implied probabilities reflect these established hierarchies and recent preparations heading into June.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$141,189End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear favorite, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, strong recent form in friendlies, and a favorable schedule that includes matches against Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard providing attacking firepower, though limited depth and tough fixtures against France limit their upside. Senegal’s physical style and tournament experience position them as a realistic challenger for second, while Iraq, the intercontinental playoff winner, faces steep challenges against the group’s established sides. The implied probabilities reflect these established hierarchies and recent preparations heading into June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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