Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, reflecting their FIFA No. 6 ranking, five World Cup titles, and dominant qualifiers like a 3-0 rout of Chile and 2-1 friendly win over Croatia, bolstered by stars like Vinícius Júnior and Endrick despite a wave of injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear), Éder Militão (thigh surgery), and leaving Estêvão (hamstring) in doubt as of early May. Morocco holds 17.5% on their No. 8 ranking and 2022 semifinal run, with clinical counters in CAF qualifiers (2-0 vs. Zambia), but faces hurdles from Achraf Hakimi's hamstring strain and recent Ilias Akhomach scare. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (0.3%) trail as underdogs, buoyed by dramatic UEFA/CONCACAF qualification wins but lacking depth against the heavyweights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.1%
Haiti <1%
$217,751 Vol.
$217,751 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.1%
Haiti <1%
$217,751 Vol.
$217,751 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, reflecting their FIFA No. 6 ranking, five World Cup titles, and dominant qualifiers like a 3-0 rout of Chile and 2-1 friendly win over Croatia, bolstered by stars like Vinícius Júnior and Endrick despite a wave of injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear), Éder Militão (thigh surgery), and leaving Estêvão (hamstring) in doubt as of early May. Morocco holds 17.5% on their No. 8 ranking and 2022 semifinal run, with clinical counters in CAF qualifiers (2-0 vs. Zambia), but faces hurdles from Achraf Hakimi's hamstring strain and recent Ilias Akhomach scare. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (0.3%) trail as underdogs, buoyed by dramatic UEFA/CONCACAF qualification wins but lacking depth against the heavyweights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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