Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 交易量
$161,372 交易量
2026-05-10
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 交易量
$161,372 交易量
2026-05-10
29°C or below
$23,839 交易量
No
30°C
$20,377 交易量
No
31°C
$9,144 交易量
No
32°C
$36,879 交易量
No
33°C
$18,983 交易量
Yes
34°C
$18,278 交易量
No
35°C
$10,611 交易量
No
36°C
$10,450 交易量
No
37°C
$6,365 交易量
No
38°C
$4,515 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,930 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$161,372結束日期
2026-05-10市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$161,372結束日期
2026-05-10市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions