Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35% implied probability for a 24°C high at Ministro Pistarini International Airport tomorrow, edging out 25°C or higher at 27%, reflecting latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible morning showers that could cap peak heating through reduced insolation. Recent developments, including today's sunny conditions reaching 23°C already, combined with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs showing a 1-2°C spread due to uncertain northerly wind advection versus southerly cooling flows, underpin the tight race; 23°C trails at 19% on downside cloud persistence risk. Overnight model updates and early airport observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 26%
23°C 20%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
26%
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 26%
23°C 20%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35% implied probability for a 24°C high at Ministro Pistarini International Airport tomorrow, edging out 25°C or higher at 27%, reflecting latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and possible morning showers that could cap peak heating through reduced insolation. Recent developments, including today's sunny conditions reaching 23°C already, combined with GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs showing a 1-2°C spread due to uncertain northerly wind advection versus southerly cooling flows, underpin the tight race; 23°C trails at 19% on downside cloud persistence risk. Overnight model updates and early airport observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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