Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Busan's daytime high at 23°C on April 26 at the Gimhae International Airport station, aligning precisely with current market-implied odds where traders assign 100% probability to this outcome. Observational data from recent METAR reports at RKPK (Gimhae) confirm peak temperatures reaching 23°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical spring diurnal heating patterns, with April climatological highs averaging 19-20°C but today's conditions favoring a modest warm-up. This strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game trader alignment with official guidance, as cloud cover has suppressed further intensification. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-afternoon sunbreak lifting clouds, potentially allowing brief heating to 24°C before sunset, though model ensembles show low likelihood given steering patterns and incoming moisture. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 26?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,036 Vol.
$42,036 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,036 Vol.
$42,036 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
17°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,295 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,235 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,832 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,075 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,240 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,945 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$6,398 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,617 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,527 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$3,824 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Busan's daytime high at 23°C on April 26 at the Gimhae International Airport station, aligning precisely with current market-implied odds where traders assign 100% probability to this outcome. Observational data from recent METAR reports at RKPK (Gimhae) confirm peak temperatures reaching 23°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical spring diurnal heating patterns, with April climatological highs averaging 19-20°C but today's conditions favoring a modest warm-up. This strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game trader alignment with official guidance, as cloud cover has suppressed further intensification. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-afternoon sunbreak lifting clouds, potentially allowing brief heating to 24°C before sunset, though model ensembles show low likelihood given steering patterns and incoming moisture. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$42,036End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Busan's daytime high at 23°C on April 26 at the Gimhae International Airport station, aligning precisely with current market-implied odds where traders assign 100% probability to this outcome. Observational data from recent METAR reports at RKPK (Gimhae) confirm peak temperatures reaching 23°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical spring diurnal heating patterns, with April climatological highs averaging 19-20°C but today's conditions favoring a modest warm-up. This strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game trader alignment with official guidance, as cloud cover has suppressed further intensification. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-afternoon sunbreak lifting clouds, potentially allowing brief heating to 24°C before sunset, though model ensembles show low likelihood given steering patterns and incoming moisture. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,036End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Busan's daytime high at 23°C on April 26 at the Gimhae International Airport station, aligning precisely with current market-implied odds where traders assign 100% probability to this outcome. Observational data from recent METAR reports at RKPK (Gimhae) confirm peak temperatures reaching 23°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical spring diurnal heating patterns, with April climatological highs averaging 19-20°C but today's conditions favoring a modest warm-up. This strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game trader alignment with official guidance, as cloud cover has suppressed further intensification. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-afternoon sunbreak lifting clouds, potentially allowing brief heating to 24°C before sunset, though model ensembles show low likelihood given steering patterns and incoming moisture. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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