Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Cape Town on June 6, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where daytime highs average near this level amid south-southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This strong model consensus, supported by stable atmospheric conditions and historical June baselines around 16–18°C, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if an unforecasted warm advection event or measurement adjustment occurs, though such shifts are rare given the tight agreement across official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$23,667 Vol.
$23,667 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$23,667 Vol.
$23,667 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
12°C or below
$548 Vol.
No
13°C
$152 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,886 Vol.
No
15°C
$409 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,613 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,075 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,121 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,565 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,035 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,309 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Cape Town on June 6, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where daytime highs average near this level amid south-southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This strong model consensus, supported by stable atmospheric conditions and historical June baselines around 16–18°C, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if an unforecasted warm advection event or measurement adjustment occurs, though such shifts are rare given the tight agreement across official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$23,667End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Cape Town on June 6, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where daytime highs average near this level amid south-southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This strong model consensus, supported by stable atmospheric conditions and historical June baselines around 16–18°C, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if an unforecasted warm advection event or measurement adjustment occurs, though such shifts are rare given the tight agreement across official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,667End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Cape Town on June 6, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where daytime highs average near this level amid south-southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This strong model consensus, supported by stable atmospheric conditions and historical June baselines around 16–18°C, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if an unforecasted warm advection event or measurement adjustment occurs, though such shifts are rare given the tight agreement across official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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