Recent model guidance for early July points to typical monsoon-influenced conditions over Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and variable southerly flow moderate peak temperatures. Small differences in timing and intensity of convective activity or boundary-layer moisture can shift daytime maxima by 2–3 °C, keeping 25–27 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Historical early-July variability and ensemble spread in global models sustain uncertainty around whether brief clear spells allow brief spikes toward 28–30 °C or persistent overcast caps readings nearer 24 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and satellite trends on cloud fraction will be the next key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 1?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$172,402 Vol.
$172,402 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$172,402 Vol.
$172,402 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent model guidance for early July points to typical monsoon-influenced conditions over Chongqing’s humid subtropical climate, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and variable southerly flow moderate peak temperatures. Small differences in timing and intensity of convective activity or boundary-layer moisture can shift daytime maxima by 2–3 °C, keeping 25–27 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Historical early-July variability and ensemble spread in global models sustain uncertainty around whether brief clear spells allow brief spikes toward 28–30 °C or persistent overcast caps readings nearer 24 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and satellite trends on cloud fraction will be the next key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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