Market icon

Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?

Apr 14

Apr 15

Apr 16

Apr 14

Apr 15

Apr 16

84-85°F 33%

86-87°F 26%

82-83°F 17%

88-89°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

84-85°F 33%

86-87°F 26%

82-83°F 17%

88-89°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

75°F or below

$699 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$226 Vol.

1%

78-79°F

$186 Vol.

4%

80-81°F

$432 Vol.

5%

82-83°F

$167 Vol.

17%

84-85°F

$157 Vol.

33%

86-87°F

$496 Vol.

26%

88-89°F

$370 Vol.

12%

90-91°F

$543 Vol.

5%

92-93°F

$71 Vol.

2%

94°F or higher

$395 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,683
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,683
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 33%, followed by "86-87°F" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?" is "84-85°F" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-87°F" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Dallas on April 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.