Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-70s highs at Dallas Love Field on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F (22.5%) and 78-79°F (19%), reflecting uncertainty in an incoming cold front's timing per latest National Weather Service guidance. NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms sweeping through late tonight into Saturday morning, followed by gusty north winds (25-30 mph gusts) capping highs in the 60s under mostly cloudy skies; however, traders price low odds for below 70°F (<15% combined), betting on potential frontal stalling or quicker clearing for afternoon insolation to boost temperatures toward climatological April norms near 77°F. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this divergence, with NWS updates due this evening potentially shifting odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 11%
NEW
$42,315 Vol.
NEW
$42,315 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 11%
NEW
$42,315 Vol.
NEW
$42,315 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
67°F or below
$12,389 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$4,765 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$1,993 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$1,834 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$1,908 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$1,376 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$1,531 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$1,808 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$2,635 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$3,008 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$9,082 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-70s highs at Dallas Love Field on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F (22.5%) and 78-79°F (19%), reflecting uncertainty in an incoming cold front's timing per latest National Weather Service guidance. NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms sweeping through late tonight into Saturday morning, followed by gusty north winds (25-30 mph gusts) capping highs in the 60s under mostly cloudy skies; however, traders price low odds for below 70°F (<15% combined), betting on potential frontal stalling or quicker clearing for afternoon insolation to boost temperatures toward climatological April norms near 77°F. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this divergence, with NWS updates due this evening potentially shifting odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$42,315End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-70s highs at Dallas Love Field on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F (22.5%) and 78-79°F (19%), reflecting uncertainty in an incoming cold front's timing per latest National Weather Service guidance. NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms sweeping through late tonight into Saturday morning, followed by gusty north winds (25-30 mph gusts) capping highs in the 60s under mostly cloudy skies; however, traders price low odds for below 70°F (<15% combined), betting on potential frontal stalling or quicker clearing for afternoon insolation to boost temperatures toward climatological April norms near 77°F. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this divergence, with NWS updates due this evening potentially shifting odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,315End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-70s highs at Dallas Love Field on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F (22.5%) and 78-79°F (19%), reflecting uncertainty in an incoming cold front's timing per latest National Weather Service guidance. NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms sweeping through late tonight into Saturday morning, followed by gusty north winds (25-30 mph gusts) capping highs in the 60s under mostly cloudy skies; however, traders price low odds for below 70°F (<15% combined), betting on potential frontal stalling or quicker clearing for afternoon insolation to boost temperatures toward climatological April norms near 77°F. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this divergence, with NWS updates due this evening potentially shifting odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions