Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Vol.
$193,235 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Vol.
$193,235 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
$13,229 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$10,658 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$8,852 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$8,329 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,230 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$17,151 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$18,774 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$15,294 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$39,350 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$21,850 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$31,518 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$193,235End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$193,235End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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