Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a high near 94–97°F in Dallas on July 18, with southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and typical mid-summer humidity keeping heat indices elevated but limiting extreme spikes. Recent mid-July warming has established a baseline in the mid-to-upper 90s, yet modest cloud cover or timing of any scattered convection could trim the peak by a degree or two, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope effects might push it slightly higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly on the 94–97°F bins because forecast spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 18?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$36,843 Vol.
$36,843 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$36,843 Vol.
$36,843 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
87°F or below
$1,198 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,152 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,090 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$3,634 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$8,720 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$7,282 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$3,942 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$3,542 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,653 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$2,642 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$988 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a high near 94–97°F in Dallas on July 18, with southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and typical mid-summer humidity keeping heat indices elevated but limiting extreme spikes. Recent mid-July warming has established a baseline in the mid-to-upper 90s, yet modest cloud cover or timing of any scattered convection could trim the peak by a degree or two, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope effects might push it slightly higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly on the 94–97°F bins because forecast spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$36,843End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a high near 94–97°F in Dallas on July 18, with southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and typical mid-summer humidity keeping heat indices elevated but limiting extreme spikes. Recent mid-July warming has established a baseline in the mid-to-upper 90s, yet modest cloud cover or timing of any scattered convection could trim the peak by a degree or two, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope effects might push it slightly higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly on the 94–97°F bins because forecast spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,843End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a high near 94–97°F in Dallas on July 18, with southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and typical mid-summer humidity keeping heat indices elevated but limiting extreme spikes. Recent mid-July warming has established a baseline in the mid-to-upper 90s, yet modest cloud cover or timing of any scattered convection could trim the peak by a degree or two, while clearer conditions or stronger downslope effects might push it slightly higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly on the 94–97°F bins because forecast spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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