Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 19?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 19?
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$48,411 Vol.
$48,411 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$48,411 Vol.
$48,411 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
91°F or below
$1,273 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,248 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$4,014 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$11,027 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$10,612 Vol.
Yes
100-101°F
$4,259 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$4,902 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$3,122 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,594 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$4,981 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$48,411End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,411End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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